fxvolatilityindex.com
Index Construction
How an FX volatility index can be built, and why methodology choices matter.
Approach A: Options-Implied Index
An implied-volatility index typically aggregates implied vol quotes (or option prices) across one or more currency pairs and maturities.
Typical inputs
- ATM (at-the-money) implied vol for a chosen tenor (commonly 1M)
- A set of major pairs (e.g., EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD)
- Weights (equal weight, liquidity weight, or trade-weighted approaches)
Design choices that change the index
- Pairs included: G10 vs. EM pairs change sensitivity to global risk
- Tenor: short tenors react faster; longer tenors are smoother
- Aggregation: averaging vols vs. aggregating option prices
- Data quality: quote timing, venue differences, and illiquidity
Approach B: Realized-Vol Index
A realized-volatility index computes volatility from spot returns and then aggregates across pairs.
- Choose a return frequency (daily, intraday)
- Choose a window (e.g., 20–60 trading days)
- Compute volatility per pair and aggregate via weights
Rule of thumb
Implied-vol indexes are more “forward-priced” but can reflect risk premia. Realized-vol indexes are purely historical but can lag regime shifts.